Showing posts with label NFL Picks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL Picks. Show all posts

Thursday, November 27, 2008

Turducken Day Picks!

Happy Thanksgiving everyone. James here to throw up some Thanksgiving football picks. You know, at first glance, this seems like a pretty awful group of games. Detroit playing Tennessee? Oh my God, blowout, right? Dallas and Seattle? BORING. Well at least the Cards and Eagles could be entertaining tonight except OH WAIT, it's on the NFL Network, so 80% of you won't see it!

Anyway, yeah, this seems fairly unentertaining unless you follow one of these teams. Still, I'm excited. Mostly excited for the Detroit/Tennessee game. Let me explain.

Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions
This is a game the Lions can win. I swear to God I'm not crazy. Detroit came out strong last week against Tampa Bay, and if football games were 15 minutes long, it would have been a blowout. They've got to win one game this season, they've GOT to. I think this is their best matchup. Culpepper has shown flashes of his old self since coming back, and if the Lions can build an early lead on the Titans, Tennessee's waning offense might not come back. Yes, Detroit has the second worst defense in the league, but Kerry Collins is finally becoming a liability (although you won't hear the media admit that, they'll still gush all day about how great he is at 'game management'), and the whole Smash and Dash combination isn't smashing or dashing like they were a few weeks ago.

This game will be decided in the first 10 minutes. If Tennessee comes out and plays like they did to win their first 10 games, they'll dominate. If they can get ahead of Detroit, the Lions stand almost no chance of winning the game.

This is the Lions' day. Thanksgiving is reserved for them and the Cowboys. If the Lions are going to win any day this season, it's today. They can play with teams, they just haven't for 60 minutes. Even if they go 1-15 this season, the damage will be much worse if than one win came against the Titans. If this weren't Thanksgiving, and this were a 1:00 game on a Sunday, I'd say it'd be a blowout for the Titans. This is a special football day though, and special things could happen.

Adam: I was really excited to predict for all of you the 0-12 DEE-TROIT BASKET-BALL Lions defeating the 12-0 Titans for the biggest NFL upset in upwards of 10 months... but stupid Bart Frave and the NY Jerks ruined all that. Fuck it, I'm still picking the Lions, and I predict Megatron knocking Cortland "Don't Call Me Seamus" Finnegan out for at least a quarter. Lions win, 24-21

James' pick: If you couldn't tell already, I'm picking the Lions to win for the second week in a row. 24-21.

Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys
This game comes across to me as far less special and exciting as the Lions/Titans game. Dallas finally found its groove and has played better football than the Titans these last couple weeks. Let's face it, the Seahawks are awful. Their two wins this season? Pre-Haslett St. Louis, and San Francisco. If the Lions played the Seahawks, I'd take the Lions in a heartbeat. Seattle stinks.

Let's face it. if the Cowboys lose this game, Tony Romo will be burned in effigy all around Dallas. This is a must-win game for the Cowboys. They NEED to be 8-4 going into next week. After today, they have arguably the toughest schedule in the NFL for any playoff contender. They go up against the Pittsburgh Steelers, New York Football Giants, Baltimore Ravens, and Philadelpia Eagles. They'll need to go at least 3-1 to have a shot at the Wild Card, so any hiccups in their most winnable game will be detrimental to their chances at seeing January. Most coaches want their teams to look at this week and only this week, but Wade Phillips has to be stressing the importance of winning this game.

Seattle has to be dying to get through this week and be one game closer to finishing this season. Mike Holmgren has to be dying to be one game closer to having a nice long vacation (as if he'll stay away from football for very long). Julius Jones ought to be getting tons of carries for the Seahawks. Matt Hasselbeck ought to be throwing lots of incompletions. Their defense ought to be giving up lots of points. When you've been through the kind of season that Seattle's had, you can't blame them for not having any heart left. While 31 teams are looking forward to next week, Seattle's looking forward to next season.

Side note. I just got Rick Roll'd by the Thanksgiving Day Parade. Now my entire family thinks I'm crazy because they don't get the phenomenon. Not to mention RICK FREAKING ASTLEY performed it live. I think Rick Astley wins the award for the greatest Rick Roll of all time. I also think I just witnessed the death of Rick Rolling. You can't top it, you just can't. Alright 4Chan people, let's get on finding a new internet prank phenomenon.

Anyway, I don't care about talking about this game anymore.

Adam: Dallas/Seattle: I want to pick Seattle, I really do. I want that lovely city to have something to cheer about. I want local boy Matt Hasselbeck to make good and give the Hawks hope that next year, when they're not forced to use backup QBs as wideouts, things can be better. I want to, but I just can't Not in Dallas. Not on Thanksgiving. Not this year. Dallas wins, 34-13.

James' pick: Cowboys win 37-17

Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles

Did anyone think at the beginning of the season that Kurt Warner and Ken Whisenhunt would be a heavy favorite over Donovan McNabb and Andy Reid at this point in the season? In fact, did anyone think that four weeks into the season? Four weeks ago even? Well they are, and even though the Cardinals are only being given 3 points, I think people are expecting a much bigger win from Arizona than that.

Let's face it Eagles, this is the NFL, and even a team as talented as yours can lose hold of their season in a matter of seconds. I actually think the Eagles are a far better team than the Cardinals, but their morale is so broken at this point that I don't know what to expect. Are they going to have a resurgence and make their record at the end of the season more reflective of the team they should have been? Maybe.

Another parade side note. What's with all of these cheesy tween boy/girl groups? I mean, seriously, this is terrible. Miley Cyrus is expected, but they're throwing out groups such as the Clique Girlz and the Varsity Fanclub and I don't know who else, but it's so awful. I'd rather listen to new age renditions of Christmas music the entire parade than another one of these douchebag groups.

Back to the game. The Cardinals' magic number is 1. No pressure to win this game, which could hurt them. Do I think Whisenhunt is telling his team "Don't worry about playing well fellas, if we don't get them this game, we'll get em next time"? No, but the Cardinals aren't going to kill themselves to win this game. Maybe the Eagles' desire to end this season with a little bit more respect will fuel them to outplay Arizona, or maybe they'll come out tonight and play the exact same way they've played these past couple weeks.

Last side note. The View episode with Rachael Ray and Elizabeth Hasselbeck looking smoking hot side by side is on, so I think it's time to say goodbye to the parade and hello to fwap fwap fwap time.

Well, time to load up on food prior to watching football, drinking beer, and loading up on more food.

Adam: Last week's gut check against the Giants will do the Cards a lot of good. When it comes down to it, they didn't get blown out of the joint. They didn't roll over and die. They played hard, they put up some points on a good defense, and they made a late game onside kick mean something. Meanwhile the Eagles are doing their best to cash in on all the good spirit of the Phillies' win, and finally tanking like they've always wanted. I see a sizeable win for Arizona (38-20), and a lot of these kids of looks on the Philly bench:



James' pick: Rachael Ray looks BANGIN. Oh, and the Cardinals win 31-24

Happy Thanksgiving everyone.

Sunday, November 23, 2008

Week 12 Picks

Hey there boys and girls. It's Adam Man here, and yes I'm still alive. First off I want to thank James for filling in last week while I was incapacitated. I know I've been getting a little lazy around here lately, but I assure you all I'm still fully committed to writing inane drivel that nobody will read. And you can take that to the bank.

Week 12 is here, and that means records are starting to mean something, fluke seasons are starting to turn into football fact, and most importantly that it's time for Marques Colston to catch a god damned pass. Seriously. Looking around the league, it seems that there is no Eastern Division team, in either conference, with a losing record. That's simply amazing. Almost as amazing as there being no NFC North team with a winning record. I can't figure out if that's the worst thing right now, or if it's the fact that a horrible Denver team has the inside track to win their division.

I know these are getting up late today, but the blame for that can be placed on the wonderful feast that is Turducken. That took up my entire Saturday and left me in a coma until late this morning. Anyway, enough of my rambling, here are the picks (featuring James' rambling).

Week 12 Picks:


Texans @ Browns (-3)
Adam: So I've decided to dub this the "Wow, We Really Expected This To Go Better" Bowl. Both teams came into the season with big hype that they were going to break out and become one of the next bigtime AFC teams. Now at 3-7 and 4-6 respectively, it's looking like another year of trying to figure out how to make that leap. Two games into the Brady Quinn era, the offense has scored 29 and 30 points in his two starts, good for 2nd and 3rd most points all year. Looking down the pipe, the Browns need this game as they've still got the Colts, Titans, Steelers, and a desperate Eagles team on their schedule. Houston, meanwhile, has been a very streaky team. A 4-game losing streak to start the year, followed by a nice 3-game win streak, but they've dropped 3 straight since then to some very good teams. With Cleveland, Jax, and Green Bay up next, I see another little streak coming on. I just don't see the Browns slowing Steve Slaton down, and Quinn is due for his first stinker game as a starter.
Adam's Pick: Houston wins, 24-20
James' Pick: Texans over the Browns 28-20

49ers @ Cowboys (-7)
James: The 49ers are playing to keep their dignity. The Cowboys are playing to keep their playoff hopes alive. This is a must-win for Dallas, and they know it. A big win over Washington last week kept America's team looking towards January, but it's far from a done deal. Can they get over their locker room drama? Will Tony Romo's homeless date show up at the game in a pink #9 jersey and jinx the team? Those questions will be answered Sunday. Later in the day, Washington's going up against Seattle, so the Cowboys know they MUST win. In must-win situations, Dallas has a tendency to stink worse than say...a homeless guy who hasn't showered in days sitting next to you in a movie theater. Mike Singletary wants this one bad, so while Dallas is a far better team, expect the Niners to come out swinging and take advantage of every opportunity they can.
Adam's Pick: Cowboys take it, 34-13
James' Pick: : Dallas gets a sloppy victory marred by Jessica Simpson, Terrell Owens, and Homeless Man bickering after the game about who Tony loves more. They all find out they're wrong as Romo struts out of the locker room holding Jason Witten's wrist. 24-18

Buccaneers @ Lions (+8)
James: We're actually going to see an 0-11 Detroit team on Thanksgiving. We might as well have fried cod instead of turkey, Jell-O pudding instead of cranberry sauce, and french fries instead of stuffing. Very un-Thanksgiving. That is, of course, as long as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers don't have the worst game of their collective lives. I won't buy that 'trap game' excuse if the Bucs lose, but facing off against New Orleans next week has to be in the back of their minds. Tampa Bay has come so far, yet still has a ways to go before securing a playoff spot. Jeff Garcia has come through for the second season in a row, not having secured the starting job prior to the season starting, but still ending up one of the league's most effective quarterbacks. Detroit hung around with Carolina last week, so an automatic win isn't necessarily the case for Tampa. As bad as the Lions are, the Bucs still have to play a good game if they want to stay with the Panthers in the division.
Adam's Pick: Bucs win, 21-17
James' Pick: Detroit saves Thanksgiving by winning 21-20

Jets @ Titans (-1.5)
Adam: I dunno about you, but that looks like a might tiny line to me for an undefeated team at home. Apparently people are convinced by the Jets and their 4-game winning streak. That, and it seems people know the Titans are good, but nobody believes they're good enough to take this streak all the way. As people have been pointing out all week, these teams actually have a lot of similarities. Big, fat, and ridiculously awesome run-stuffing Defensive Tackles (Jenkins and Face-Stomper Haynesworth); old, grizzled, ex-alcoholic QB's, quality running back tandems... it sets up nicely for an entertaining slugfest of a game. When it comes down to it, however, I really see the Titans being a little more physical, especially on D, and I have no faith in the Jets to win two big road games in a row. Plus, I'm really looking forward to predicting next week that the 12-0 Titans will lose to the 0-12 Lions on Thanksgiving. Oh, it's gonna happen. BA-LEE DAT!
Adam's Pick: Titans win a tight one, 28-24
James' Pick: Jets over the Titans 20-14

Bills @ Chiefs (+2.5)
James: It was too good to last. Buffalo was one of the hottest teams in the NFL, and they looked legit. Very legit. When they were 5-1, no one could see anyone but them winning the AFC East. Four games later and no one can see them doing anything but winding up dead last in the division. What happened to the Bills? I don't know, but it's not very fun to watch. Maybe Trent Edwards is still in his development phase. That would explain the three interceptions in the first quarter of last Monday's game. They weren't great plays by Cleveland's defense as much as they were easy giveaways. Rian Lindell continued the Bills legacy of going wide right, and if everyone else watching felt the same thing as me, it was destined to happen. It was like the Colts/Steelers game in '05 and the refs blew Troy Polamalu's interception call and the Colts held on for a field goal try. I knew before the kick that Vanderjagt would miss. Sometimes kickers are destined to miss. The positive from the Bills' game: Marshawn Lynch had his first 100 yard game this season (and in turn got me the 22 fantasy points I needed to win last week). They're going to need to have a big offense against the Chiefs if they want to outscore the red hot Tyler Thigpen, one of those rare gems that skips the developmental phase and goes straight to being uber-productive. The Chiefs need a win for their own sanity, and they've got a great shot at doing it.
Adam's Pick: Chiefs win it, 31-21
James' Pick: Kansas City hands Buffalo their 5th loss in a row, 34-24. Bills fans are sad. So am I.

Bears @ Rams (+5)
James: The Bears are in the best position to take control of the NFC North this week. While Minnesota and Green Bay are off facing the Jaguars and Saints, respectively, they get the lowly Rams who have gotten back to playing the Rams football we all expected to see this season. Chicago has an opportunity to brush off being on the wrong end of a blowout against the Pack last week with a victory in St. Louis. Steven Jackson's holdout injury and the Rams inability to stop good offenses such as Chicago's makes this matchup very favorable for the Bears. We'll see if their defense gets back to normal and they're able to either stay in first or take the lead outright.
Adam's Pick: Bears win, 20-14
James' Pick: Nothing special, Bears win 32-14

Patriots @ Dolphins (-1.5)
Adam: After only one win in 2007 the question is: are the Fins just happy to be here at the 5-win mark? Or are they hungry for more? The way they're playing, and the way they're talking, it suggests they're looking to keep this going. Meanwhile, all aboard the Matty Cassel bandwagon! Seriously, he's looking better and better every week, which I expected would happen for a guy with so little starting experience. 400 yards, 3 TDs, 60 rushing yards... it's pretty amazing the numbers he put up in last week's effort. That being said, he's still leaving some plays on the field that could be game changers. A lot of red zone trips are coming away as 3-pointers, and I think there's some value to the theory that Cassel is being told "Hey, no matter what you do, don't throw a pick." He's not taking many chances, in tight coverage, he throws it so far outside that it really looks like he's playing it safe. With how much confidence he seems to be getting, if they take the cuffs off, this offense could really take off.
Adam's Pick: The Pats look at some tape, stop the Wildcat, and win 31-17
James' Pick: New England over Miami 27-24

Vikings @ Jaguars (+1)
James: While I'm sure the Vikes would much rather be going up against St. Louis in a big week for the NFC North contenders, facing the Jaguars isn't much worse. The Jaguars, with a 1-4 home record, have been the epitome of mediocrity this season. When they win, they don't look that great, and when they lose, they look awful. Minnesota's the kind of team that Jacksonville can stay with and even beat if they're on their best game, but Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor really need to have a big game. MoJo is averaging 49.5 yards per game since running all over Denver for 125 yards a month and a half back. Minnesota missed a golden opportunity to beat the Bucs last week and take the division lead, so you know they're going to bring their best game possibly to Jacksonville.

Oh, who am I kidding? Brad Childress was hired to make sure that this team never gains momentum in crucial times, and a six game collapse is imminent. Watch as Adrian Peterson punishes the Jaguars' offensive line for 80 yards in the first quarter, and then gets 5 carries the entire rest of the game.

Adam's Pick: The Vikings take it 29-21, and the Jags continue to be who I thought they were.
James' Pick: Jags take it 25-21

Eagles @ Ravens (EVEN)
James: Seriously, you have to be a giant asshole to tie. It's worse than losing, absolutely worse. Bob, my Eagles fan friend, said he was actually hoping the Bengals kicked the field goal and won the game. You know how in like, 23% of all horror films, the tag line is “THERE ARE FATES WORSE THAN DEATH”? In football, there are fates worse than losing. Like tying, and being known as “the team that tied that one game”. Worse, when your slightly slumping quarterback who's always on thin ice in Philadelphia tells the media he didn't know there were ties in football even though MY MOM knows there are ties in football, you've got a serious, serious problem on your hands. The Ravens aren't a team who want to tie. They're pissed from getting embarrassed by the Giants, and frankly, they're a better team than the Eagles. Much better. This game's in Baltimore, and it's going to be a good one. Trust me. If the Patriots/Dolphins and Jets/Titans weren't going on, I'd probably have this game on at 1:00
Adam's Pick: Ravens win it behind Super Flacco's arm, 24-16
James' Pick: Ravens win big, 31-13, as the Eagles' offense never takes flight.

Raiders @ Broncos (-10)

Adam: As much as I think the Broncos are a bunch of frauds, I still understand that the Raiders are just horrible. They give up over 100 more yards per game than they gain, they are dead last in points scored. It's pretty bad when your fans are looking wistfully up at Daunte Culpepper in Detroit and wondering what might have been. For Denver, the Leatherhead Larson story is enough to give the Broncos good football karma and make sure they don't fall to an upset. That and I always have a hard time rooting against a white running back. Go Peyton Hillis go! Take the Mike Alstott torch and run like hell with it!
Adam's Pick: Broncos yawn to a 34-12 win.
James' Pick: Raiders beat the pants off of the Broncos 12-7 and still don't score a touchdown.

Panthers @ Falcons (EVEN)
Adam: What a big game here for both teams. The Falcons, your feel-good story of the 2008 season, sit at 6-4 and in 3rd place of a very strong division. If they were able to pull off this big win at home, they'd only be one game out of first place with 5 games to play. Even with the uphill climb ahead of them for this season... having an offensive core of young players (with quality personal character) has got to give Falcons fans plenty of hope for the future. The Panthers are playing beyond expectations this season (after being sleeper Super Bowl picks for the past few years) and have a chance to put some space between them and a division opponent. The Panthers live and die by the run (6th ranked rush offense, 17th ranked rush D) as to the Falcons (2nd and 22nd), so expect a quick game with lots of rushes and the clock moving pretty constantly. If I was a betting man? My money would be on the Burner to get the best of this one though.
Adam's Pick: Atlanta closes the gap and wins, 20-17
James' Pick: Panthers over the Falcons 37-34

Giants @ Cardinals (+4.5)
James: A lot of times when a team looks as good as the Giants do, it's because their strength of schedule isn't that great, making them look dominant against easy teams. You can't accuse the G-Men of that this season. They've beaten the Steelers, Cowboys, Eagles, and Ravens all in a row. Eli Manning's got one of the easiest jobs in football. Just hand the ball off to one of your three 70's disco/R&B band themed running backs, and occasionally throw to a receiver and hear about how well you spread the ball around. When your job is made this simple, and you're as good as Eli Manning, a lot of positive things can happen when you get the ball. Justin Tuck leads an absolutely dirty defense that no quarterback ever looks forward to playing against. Even if they're current MVP front-runner Kurt Warner. Warner, Matt Leinart's backup in preseason, is playing like he did with the Rams. Having Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin, and Steve Breaston to throw to doesn't hurt either. It's the #2 offense facing off against the #2 defense. The Super Bowl MVP vs the guy trying to win regular season MVP. The Giants vs the Cardinals. Expect a huge game.
Adam's Pick: The Cards make the NFC a lot more interesting, winning 37-31
James' Pick: The Giants defense has a few hiccups, but is able to hold the Cardinals to just a couple touchdowns while cruising to 10-1. 37-21

Redskins @ Seahawks (+6)
Adam: Here we've got a team on a 3 game losing streak coming in to face a team on a 2-8 streak. The Seahawks have really been doomed by their geography alone this season, falling victim to the curse of Seattle. The injuries they've faced, plus another team in the division pretending to show the slightest sign of competence for the first time this decade, and they didn't stand a chance. This offseason should be very interesting with the expected departure of Holmgrem and the glaring need for an offensive shot in the arm. The Zorn era in Washington has been a roller coaster confidence ride. They really need this game, with tough matchups against the Giants and Ravens the next two week, if they want to stay in the NFC playoff race. The Seahawks are just trying to figure out if Beanie Wells is worth a top-5 pick. Count on the team with urgency winning this one.
Adam's Pick: Redskins stay in the hunt with a 31-13 win
James' Pick: Redskins over the Seahawks 24-10

Colts @ Chargers (+3.5)
James: Do you remember that scene in Rookie of the Year where the kid is facing his first major league pitcher, and the pitch comes in, but he's so scared and nervous that he just goes “ohmygodohmygodohmygod” the entire time? I think that's how the scene goes, but it's been a few years months since I've seen it. Anyway, that has been me this entire week. Part of me is excited on the prospect of going 7-4 while getting revenge on the team that has given us the most trouble these past couple seasons (including ending our season last year). Another part of me is scared to all hell that another nightmare like last season is going to happen. It doesn't get much worse than Peyton Manning throwing 6 interceptions and Adam Vinatieri missing a chip shot field goal that could have won the game, but the postseason wasn't on the line last year. Last time I was this nervous or a game was before the Colts/Patriots AFC Championship game in 2006. This is the biggest game of the season for any Colts fan, without a doubt.

This game is much, much different than last year's. For one, the Colts had just lost their first game of the season, and were just beginning to be hurt by injuries. This was when they started falling apart. The 2008 Colts went through that the first month and a half, and now they're healthy and gelled and much better than this point last year. Also, San Diego's pass defense was a bajillion times better than this year. In fact, the Bolts rank dead last in the NFL in pass defense. Also different from last year is that we don't have to worry about stopping Michael Turner. Instead, we get to focus on the lowly LaDainian Tomlinson and Darren Sproles. Ok, so that's not much easier, but still.

I just want the game to be over with already. I get nervous and start sweating and my heart starts racing during preseason games, so this one's going to be tough on me. Luckily, I have DVR now, so I can tape the game and go back to Faith Hill any time things aren't going so well.

Adam's Pick: Sorry James, I pick the Bolts over the Colts, 28-17
James' Pick: Colts 34-27. It'll be another 4th quarter comeback, because Peyton loves doing that and enjoys throwing it in the face of everyone that he can do it better than anyone ever. Colts go 7-4 and create some space between them and a couple other contenders, and I poop myself all over the place.

Friday, November 14, 2008

Sunday, November 9, 2008

Week 10 Picks

Hey everybody. It's been a rough weekend involving a Party Bus, sleeping in a bathtub, a broken iPhone, and my girlfriend's lost purse. Let's just power through this...(Ed. note - I was not on said party bus and feel slighted. Sad face.)

By the way, I'm officially suspending Fantasy Love/Hate until I have a fantasy team over .500

Saints @ Falcons (-2)
Adam: Wow, who would have thought that this late in the season we'd have the Atlanta Falcons favored over the New Orleans Saints? I don't know if I fully agree with that, but apparently enough gamblers do to make the line swing that way. One thing's for sure... everybody is impressed with Matt Ryan is doing. And with him, Roddy White, and Michael Turner, this team has the cornerstones of a very sold offense for years to come. The Saints have alternated wins and losses for their last 5 games, so they should be due to lose this one... but after the bye week and a big win over San Diego in their last game, I don't see it happening. This Falcons defense just isn't quite good enough to keep up with the Saints, and I see Colston having his first big game of the year.
Adam's Pick: New Orleans, 38-27
James' Pick: Atlanta wins, 27-20

Titans @ Bears (+2)
Adam: Oh man, Sex Cannon, back in action. I see a beautiful scenario playing out, where Grossman goes off for, like, 5 TDs against the best defense in the NFL, and then Orton gets healthy, and you see Lovie Smith staring glossy-eyed into the camera while trying to explain who is starting QB is going to be next week. Oh my god, please let this happen.
Adam's Pick: Chicago wins, 35-17
James' Pick: Chicago over Tennesse (fingers crossed) 18-15

Jaguars @ Lions (+4.5)
Adam: If you thought I was excited about Sexy Rexy.... you have no idea how pumped I am to see Daunte Culpepper back in the NFC North. And you can't really blame the Lions. With Dan Orlovsky struggling so much, and the unknown quality of Drew Stanton the only other option, it can't make your season any worse to take a flier on Daunte. Although, the second year on the deal did confuse me a bit. Meanwhile the Jaguars are struggling just as much as I expected them to. Everybody was convinced they'd make the leap into a premier team this year, but I just didn't see it. I still think they'll win today though, because they do have talent and are too proud to lose to this team.
Adam's Pick: Jaguars win, 24-13
James' Pick: Jacksonville beats Detroit, 21-9

Seahawks @ Dolphins (-6.5)

James: And the third biggest favorite during this week's games is...*drum roll*...the Miami Dolphins? When you think about it, it makes sense. It shouldn't make sense, but it does. The Tampa Bay Rays have put on the pressure for the Fins to go from worst to first, and if they can bring a solid game on Sunday, they'll be within striking distance of the Patriots/Bills and possibly Jets. Chad Pennington has been a great fit in this offense; a cerebral quarterback who can do a lot of things to help win games except hurl the ball downfield. As the Jets have seen, throwing the ball downfield doesn't always have great results. If the Seahawks can't win this game, their chances of catching Arizona are slim to none. If Seattle can get the ground game going with Julius Jones and win some clock time, they have a legitimate chance of coming away with this. If they buy into any of the Dolphins trickery and tomfoolery, it'll be a blowout by the 2nd quarter.
Adam's Pick: Dolphins take it, 23-17
James' Pick: Dolphins win, 34-10

Packers @ Vikings (-2)

James: You always know what you're getting into when the Packers and Vikes go at it, and this contest will be no different. Green Bay has to be sore over coming so close to defeating Tennessee last week, and Minnesota is always a tough, physical matchup for anyone. Mix in the bad blood these teams have, and I'm sure we'll see two or three hits that will make you cringe. If either team is going to win this game, they're going to have to find ways to score that might be outside of their comfort zone. Minnesota will rely on more than Adrian Peterson, and Aaron Rodgers will be spreading his passes out. The emergence of Brandon Jackson in their running game may help their cause, but this game, with its divisional implications, is going to be a battle either way.
Adam's Pick: Packers win, 27-24
James' Pick: Brad Childress almost blows it, but Minnesota hangs on 24-18

Bills @ Patriots (-2)
Adam: I'm actually gearing up to head out to this game right now, and I'll be bringing my girlfriend along for her first NFL game. Some guys have a strict no-chicks at games rule, but I think that's dumb. Ive always thought my father was a genius for getting my mom to like football... it's something she gets excited about instead of nagging him when he watches it. This should be a great game to introduce her with, as the winner gets a leg up on the AFC East race. Interesting note: as well as the Bills have played, they still have not beaten a team in their division. I'll be screaming my head off hoping that trend stays.
Adam's Pick: Patriots win, 31-20
James' Pick: New England ends up in their proper place (grr) 24-16

Rams @ Jets (-5)
Adam: I feel extremely confident that the Rams will win this game. For a few reasons. All of them selfish wishful thinking. Reason #1: The Patriots will be alone in 1st place in the division if this happens. Reason #2: I'm starting Kenneth Darby in one fantasy league. Which is probably a horrible sign. But... maybe not? Reason #3: The Jets suck and I hate them. There you go, hard hitting analysis.
Adam's Pick: Rams win, 21-17
James' Pick: Jets stay in first place with a win over St. Louis, 37-24

Ravens @ Texans (EVEN)
James: There are many very feasible scenarios in which this could be a matchup of two playoff teams, as my "Hello January!" column showed. Houston's bringing a lot of momentum into this game, while the Ravens seem to be easing in to their offense and putting less pressure on the defense. For the Texans, any game is a must-win, but a victory at home could be the very thing to catapult them into a wild card spot in January. Houston's strengths are Baltimore's weaknesses, so the winner will be whoever can overcome those weaknesses more. Seems obvious, but there is no room for error by either team this game. Can Houston stop the run and keep their offense on the field, or will the Ravens score big early and embarrass the Texans at Reliant Stadium?
Adam's Pick: Texans over Ravens 19-13
James' pick: Houston wins 28-18

Panthers @ Raiders (+7.5)
Adam: The Raiders are an absolute mess. They just cut DeAngelo Hall, they've already fired their head coach, their big WR signing of the offseason couldn't have been more insane or more of a bust. It's amazing how much a team can resemble their owner. The Panthers should be ashamed of themselves if they don't take this one in a rout.
Adam's Pick: Panthers win, 34-12
James' pick: Oakland stuns Carolina 17-14

Colts @ Steelers (-5)

James: Ben Roethlisberger or not, the Steelers are GOOD. I thought the initial reactions to them this season would quickly prove to be wrong as teams found their weaknesses. With Pittsburgh this season, there aren't too many weaknesses. They can hurt you with the run, they can hurt you with the pass, and then if you can stop either of those, you need to score against their rock solid defense. The fan in me is saying "this game is winnable", which it is. No game is unwinnable in the NFL. However, the Colts' chances are slim. They finally someone over 265 lbs at defensive tackle in Antonio Johnson, but he probably won't be ready to play for this matchup. This game is going to be won or lost by Peyton Manning. The defense will be pushed around, that's a given, but they'll need to not miss tackles, get to the ball quickly, and not give a 10 yard cushion (much like their defensive plan against the Patriots). Their biggest strategy on defense, however, is to win ball control. Peyton Manning needs to be a master at the helm for the Colts to win. If we're seeing a lot of 5-6 yard checkdowns to Clark, Gonzalez, and Rhodes/Addai, then we can know that the Colts are playing this game correctly. Even with doing everything perfectly, the sheer physicality of this game is going to make it a tough one to win.
Adam's Pick: Steelers win, 31-27
James the fan's prediction: Indianapolis wins 34-30
James the realist's prediction: Pittsburgh wins 34-18

Cheifs @ Chargers (-4)
James: Nooooo way the Chiefs can upset the Chargers a second time. ...Right? Well, it's highly unlikely, but very possible. This is entirely up to the Chargers. This is the trap game of the year, with Pittsburgh coming up next for San Diego. The Chargers should expect to win this game, but they could very well be thinking about building momentum with a win against the Steelers next week. If the Bolts don't have their head focused on this game, Kansas City could very well take advantage of that and have another strange dominating performance like their first meeting. Jamaal Charles and Tyler Thigpen have a lot more things to like right now than Larry Johnson and Damon Huard/Brodie Croyle. If the Chiefs can stick with San Diego through the first half, they have a great shot to take this game. We'll see what San Diego can bring with an extra week of rest.
Adam's Pick: Chargers win, 34-10
James' pick: Evil Tony Dungy brings the Chiefs to win the season series, 24-13

Giants @ Eagles (+2)

James: My friend Bob is an Eagles fan. He fits into "dudes from New Jersey who associate with Philadelphia teams" category. He walked the entire World Series parade in Philadelphia dressed in a gorilla outfit while drinking Sparks the entire time. Therefore, Bob is the kind of guy you hate to root against. However, this weekend I hope Eli Manning breaks his heart. Every divisional game for the Giants is a statement game, and the statement gets louder each time. Defensive players have nightmares that they keep having to try and tackle Brandon Jacobs one-on-one and wake up just as they're being flattened. Their defense is as good if not better than Pittsburgh's. I think this is the best team in the NFL, and as soon as Tennessee loses, most power rankings should show that. I don't think McNabb and his boys have enough to take the G-Men on.
Adam's Pick: Eagles win, 24-21
James' pick: Giants win in an unbELIable fashion, 31-21

49ers @ Cardinals
James: I can guarantee you the guys on the Niners do not want to see Mike Singletary drop his pants at halftime again. Therefore, we should see some effort from these guys that's been missing these past few weeks. I had a lot of hope for San Francisco prior to the season starting, and I think Singletary could very well turn this season around for them. I don't see them in the playoffs, but a few wins here and a few wins there could put them at 7-9 or 8-8. Arizona has a great opportunity here to put some more space between them and the rest of their division. The Cards brilliant receiving corps and Tim Hightower, maybe the steal of the draft (5th round, overall 149), has reignited the Cards' running game. If the 49ers want a shot at winning, they're going to have to listen to Coach Singletary and play disciplined football. They've had a bye week to prepare for this game, and Shaun Hill may be the answer at quarterback. He also might not be the answer, but it's tough to tell how good a quarterback is when they get sacked more than they complete a pass.
Adam's Pick: Cards win, 48-12
James' pick: San Francisco stuns Arizona 18-13

Sunday, November 2, 2008

Week 9 Picks

Well, we've reached the midway-point in the season, and we know this much for now.
1) Scott Linehan might have actually been the problem in St. Louis
2) Marvin Lewis still has a job mainly because he coached the lone bright spot in the past 20 years of Bengals football
3) The Colts are currently on the outside looking in on the AFC playoff race
4) Tennessee can absolutely compete for a title with their defense and running game (Note: James does NOT approve this message)
5) The NFC South is surprisingly giving the NFC East a run for its money for toughest division in football.
6) Both the NFC and AFC West divisions still suck.
7) Nothing. No seriously, forget everything I just told you. The one thing I actually know about this season is that we know nothing. And I love it.

On to the games...

Jets @ Bills
James: During the offseason, there was talk about these two teams “having a chance” at playing in January. Guess what? That chance is still very real for both teams, and this week's matchup is going to be a crucial divisional game. Right now, Buffalo is tied with New England for tops of the AFC East, so a win means that at the very least, a tie for first place for another week. Broadway Brett Favre and the Jets have been wavering between looking like a playoff contender and a playoff spectator much in the same fashion Oprah Winfrey has wavered between fat and more fat (Just kidding Oprah. You go girl!). Missing for Buffalo are Josh Reed, Aaron Schoebel, and Brad Butler. Ssssssssssssssssssssssssssssqa 11111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111 I'd like to thank this cute little kitten my girlfriend rescued off the side of the road the other day for providing the Jets injury report. We've already named it and already grown attached, now it just needs a home. Back to this football stuff. The Jets and Bills both have defenses that have improved a great deal last season, and there's a ton of pressure on both sides to win. Expect to see an epic battle where Buffalo will pound the ball with Lynch and Jackson, and New York will take score any way they can figure out how.
James' Pick: Buffalo wins, 20-17
Adam's Pick: Buffalo wins, 28-14

Fantasy Love: Trent Edwards
Fantasy Hate: Tom Jones

Lions @ Bears
Adam: I've got two words for you: ORTON EXPRESS! Seriously, I don't think anybody saw this coming. This is a guy that I've always thought would carry the torch as "The Next Trent Dilfer", but he's done more than just play safe and keep mistakes to a minimum, he's pushed the offense to another, balanced level and complemented Matt Forte very well. Did you know the Bears have scored the 5th most points in the NFL this season? No, I bet you didn't. Mr. Neck Beard has a lot to do with that fact. The Lions meanwhile are one of the two winless teams in the NFL. They have lost their starting QB for the season. They have traded away their most accomplished WR. They are starting the 2008 model of Rudi Johnson at running back. Oh, and they're giving up 30 points per game. Awesome. At least they're still keeping it light with hilarious Halloween costumes.
Adam's Pick: Chicago wins, 31-10
James' Pick: Lions over Da Bears, 17-10

Fantasy Love: Kyle Orton, Matt Forte
Fantasy Hate: The Lions

Jaguars @ Bengals
James: What's tougher, a jaguar or a bengal? Well, initially, you might say a bengal. However because Cincy never specified what kind of bengal they are, I'm inclined to believe they named themselves after bengal cats and not bengal tigers based on their performance this year. Bengal cats are adorable and well known for their antics, much like Chad Javon Ocho Cinco Johnson and Chris Henry and the rest of those guys.Jacksonville's sitting at 3-4, and Cincinnati is just trying to beat the Lions to the first win of the season. Ryan Fitzpatrick has shown some promise at some points, but the way they were absolutely spanked by Houston last week makes me feel like they just want to get the season over with. Jacksonville, on the other hand, is one of those teams who are fighting through injuries, and they seem like they just might click and come together at any minute. This would be a good starting point
James' Pick: Jaguars trample the Kittens, 34-10
Adam's Pick: Jaguars win, 24-21. But I would not be shocked by an upset.
Fantasy Love: Maurice Jones-Drew
Fantasy Hate: Chris Perry

Ravens @ Browns
Adam: This is one of those games that's really tough to call. Four weeks ago, you'd take the Ravens to beat the Browns in a landslide. But Cleveland's woken up finally and are starting to turn it on offensively. The Ravens were looking pretty bad with that loss to the Colts, but have rolled off a couple wins a row. I think the Browns still make a run at a playoff spot this year, but it'll be after losing this one today. The Ravens D is just too keyed-in.
Adam's Pick: Ravens win, 28-13
James' Pick: Lions over Da Bears, 17-10

Fantasy Love: Willis McGahee
Fantasy Hate: Jamal Lewis

Packers @ Titans
Adam: So, James can talk all he wants, but I'm convinced with these Titans. They have a complete defense, with pass rushers, run-stuffers, and shutdown corners. They have a fast, exciting running back and a fat guy who gets into the end zone. And they have Kerry Collins. Hm. Well nevermind that, I still think they're good. The Packers are in a tough spot. After coming out on fire to start the season, they had a few rough weeks in a row. They've righted the ship since then, but run into the "it" team of 2008 here. I see this being a close game, but one ultimately won by timely defensive plays by the Titans.
Adam's Pick: Tennessee over GB, 24-21
James' Pick: Packers over Titans, 37-21
Fantasy Love: Chris Johnson
Fantasy Hate: Donald Driver

Buccaneers @ Cheifs
James: This is my “so obvious who's going to win you might as well not even play game”. I think my record on those games this season is worse than Kansas City's. The Chiefs are missing Larry Johnson once again because he seems to have a spitting problem, while the Bucs are looking to redeem themselves after losing to Dallas. This goes to show you how crazy this season is, when you're shocked that Dallas pulled off that win. If the Chiefs can get any offense going against the Bucs tough defense...well then they'll have to actually stop Jeff Garcia, Earnest Graham, and Warrick Dunn. While the chances of that are slim to none, it still wouldn't surprise me one bit. Herm Edwards has to be embarrassed that his defense is the one teams get excited to go up against, and he might have a trick or two up his sleeve (like suiting up and filling in at cornerback). Tampa's looking to improve in the very tough NFC South (I still can't believe I'm calling the NFC South “tough”), and needs to play 60 minutes of solid football in order to win Kansas City. I can guarantee you if there's one coach in the NFL who isn't taking a game against the Chiefs as an easy win, it's Jon Gruden.
Adam's Pick: Tampa Bay wins, 28-18
James' Pick: Bucs take it, 24-10

Fantasy Love: Earnest Graham
Fantasy Hate: Kolby Smith

Cardinals @ Rams
Adam: The battle for St. Louis, past vs. present! The Cardinals are going for it, that's for sure. Now that Anquan Boldin isn't out with a face anymore (dumbest injury description ever), and they're moving to Tim Hightower instead of Creaky-Knees James, they should make a serious run at being the highest scoring team this year. If only they could get that young D to perform. The Rams, meanwhile, are rejuvenated since the Linehan firing. Watching the game last week, at no point did you feel like you were playing a JV team, and that's new to the past 2 years of Rams teams. Stephen Jackson is coming back this week, Donnie Avery is finding his rhythm with Bulger, and Atogwe is quickly playing himself towards the top of the CB list. I say they continue their good vibe at home this week, and New St. Louis beats Old St. Louis.
Adam's Pick: New St. Louis wins, 27-24
James' Pick: New St. Louis, 24-9

Fantasy Love: Donnie Avery
Fantasy Hate: Tim Hightower

Texans @ Vikings
James: I'm excited about this game. These are two very talented, very good teams who make a lot of mistakes and end up screwing themselves. Both are 3-4, meaning both still have a shot at making the playoffs. Houston has yet to win a game on the road, so improving to .500 after a disastrous start would put them on par to be the 2008 Feel Good Team Of The Year. Steve Slaton will be seeing his toughest run defense since, and has a good chance to legitimatize himself as the next great premier back. Minnesota can, with losses from Green Bay and Chicago, tie for first place in the NFC North with a win today. If they can keep their Achilles heel in check (Brad Childress. You know, that guy that stands on the sidelines at Vikings games who looks like your 8th grade English teacher, and every time he opens his mouth something bad happens. That guy.), the Vikings will certainly have a good shot.
Adam's Pick: I'll take Houston, 34-24
James' Pick: Houston wins, 37-14

Fantasy Love: Andre Johnson
Fantasy Hate: Gus Bus

Dolphins @ Broncos
Adam: Nobody thought this was possible before the season, but if the Dolphins can pull out a win here in week 9, no team in the AFC East will have a losing record. You've got to give it to Bill Parcells and Tony Sparano, they've changed the way Miami does things in a big way. Aside from the highly effective gimmick plays, the Dophins are playing much more physical than they had in the past, and it's keeping them in games right down to the very end. The Broncos, coming off their bye week, have plenty of motivation. They seemed to be exposed as the biggest frauds in the NFL in their last game, a Monday Night blowout by the Patriots. With the Pats winning again last week to get to 5-2, that could end being a turning point game for the two teams, where the Pats stopped feeling sorry for themselves and the Broncos started paying for their poor defense. They have the power to stop all that today, and with the bye week to prepare for everything the Dolphins can throw at them, my money's on Mike Shannahan doing exactly that.
Adam's Pick: Broncos top the Fins, 31-27
James' Pick: Miami over Denver, 28-20
Fantasy Love: Brandon Marshall
Fantasy Hate: Anthony Fasano

Falcons @ Raiders
James: The Falcons are inches away from being taken seriously, and they should be very happy with the way they've played this season. If the team can hold on to Roddy White for a while, imagine what he and Matt Ryan will be doing a few seasons from now. I'm excited, are you? Both teams need a win to stay in the playoff hunt. Yeah, Oakland is actually still in the playoff hunt, which goes to show you how bad the AFC West is. Hopefully, this is the game where commentators stop giving JaMarcus Russell excuses, saying “He's only in his Xth game, he's still developing” and realize “Holy crap, Matt Ryan is miles better than this guy and he's a true rookie”. If McFadden can step up and the Raiders can win ball control, this game could very well be their's for the taking. The Falcons seems to live or die by whether they can establish a running game, so if Michael Turner hasn't gotten at least 20 or 30 yards by the end of the first quarter, this will be a very tough battle for Atlanta. Matt Ryan's good, but he's still not quite there in being able to win road games when he's getting no rushing support.
Adam's Pick: Atlanta wins, 24-13
James' Pick: Oakland wins, 22-14

Fantasy Love: Roddy White
Fantasy Hate: Jamarcus Russell

Cowboys @ Giants
James: If anything, this week of football won't be short on exciting divisional matchups with playoff ramifications. The Cowboys, missing Romo and most likely Witten, will be in New York Jersey to see if they can gain some ground on the Super Bowl Champs. One of the biggest surprises this season might have been the role reversal the Giants and Cowboys took. Feeling a bit like Rodney Dangerfield, Eli, the three headed running beast of Branderrahmad Jawardshaw, and the best (yes, BEST) defense in the NFL have taken it upon themselves to earn some respect this season. If they can win today, Dallas drops to 5-4 and 1-2 in the division. Last week, I predicted Dallas would be dead in the water against Tampa, but their defense stepped up to the challenge and was able to pull off a win. It'll take that and then some to win this week, but coming out with a win isn't out of the question
Adam's Pick: Giants win it, 38-30
James' Pick:
New York Football Giants take control of the NFC East and win 27- 13 23 (After all, this is the Giants and Cowboys we're talking about, I should expect the Cowboys to bring their best)
Fantasy Love: Charlie
Fantasy Hate: Dennis

Eagles @ Seahawks
James: I've been thinking about it a lot lately, and no matter how bad my teams do, I will never have a worse season than Seattle fans. Their basketball team was stolen from them at gun point, their baseball team was beyond bad, and even the backups' backups on the Seahawks can't stay healthy. When you're putting your teams' chances in the hands of Seneca Wallace and Julius Jones and your defense hasn't done half as well as was expected, you're in for a tough time. The Eagles probably watched the World Series parade and how excited Philadelphia fans were, and right now they're drooling uncontrollably. Rumor has it that McNabb has been given orders by Andy Reid to wear a bib for this very reason. Rumor also has it that Reid and Mike Holmgren will be switching clothes this game to see if anyone notices, just like that episode of Sister, Sister where Tia and Tamara take each others tests (but sadly end up getting caught out). Philly's an undeserved dead last in the NFC East at 4-3, and this game is a must-win in order to stay on track for the playoffs. Also, Seattle is an undeserved 2nd place in the NFC West at 2-5. Just keep that in mind.
Adam's Pick: Eagles win, 25-18 (yeah, that's right, wacky numbers. I'm CRAZY like that)
James' Pick:
Seattle, under the wing of Andy Reid, pull off an upset 31-17
Fantasy Love: Kevin Curtis reminds me why I stashed him on my bench for 8 weeks
Fantasy Hate: Julius Jones


Stay tuned for our totally impartial Patriots/Colts debate! Plus, the Monday Night Preview.